Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 73.761525 82.919286 92.312829 102.637630 113.636907 124.975649 137.518949
2025-01-19 57.842703 70.717425 84.560795 100.425744 117.982699 136.704836 158.067257
2025-01-26 51.548978 66.869538 83.884713 103.925758 126.640769 151.364736 180.091514
2025-02-02 46.308833 63.375870 82.881312 106.398612 133.586698 163.672795 199.133700
2025-02-09 40.209081 58.163134 79.286781 105.345578 136.046628 170.548494 211.750432
2025-02-16 35.103779 53.626240 76.037660 104.283408 138.138519 176.712012 223.308348
2025-02-23 31.676383 50.846643 74.627217 105.158080 142.287616 185.077255 237.253960
2025-03-02 28.265565 47.769859 72.588249 105.042150 145.071855 191.709991 249.085665
2025-03-09 25.601779 45.446903 71.307613 105.695371 148.649176 199.177209 261.819376
2025-03-16 22.520882 42.275727 68.711834 104.509482 149.829491 203.681101 270.979825
2025-03-23 20.807063 40.895691 68.360988 106.087894 154.349029 212.137942 284.794495
2025-03-30 19.366633 39.788873 68.283446 107.946670 159.168475 220.929986 299.002403
2025-04-06 17.041393 37.176340 66.038563 106.909956 160.334267 225.317489 308.019185
2025-04-13 14.518275 34.008320 62.832849 104.446927 159.571841 227.264103 314.041687
2025-04-20 13.999133 34.039203 64.156969 108.061562 166.604863 238.829623 331.744342
2025-04-27 13.224018 33.567857 64.704823 110.588919 172.218181 248.638217 347.328230
2025-05-04 11.581993 31.442326 62.699280 109.511476 173.064866 252.458838 355.561818
2025-05-11 10.103018 29.439396 60.756682 108.423749 173.822839 256.114657 363.555609
2025-05-18 9.209613 28.423290 60.256927 109.319401 177.175080 263.024277 375.560919
2025-05-25 8.182178 27.029866 59.088562 109.200694 179.130382 268.137259 385.328670
2025-06-01 7.402410 26.038767 58.497509 109.869532 182.115775 274.548268 396.709697
2025-06-08 6.352128 24.339167 56.665318 108.655262 182.496096 277.587152 403.857167
2025-06-15 5.879759 23.838021 56.770217 110.271421 186.725139 285.576602 417.219350